Abiy Ahmed ruled Ethiopia, a fragile country thst always suffers from severe ethnic polarization, with a strange, absolute authority driven by his intense delusions and obsessive whims. His most famous project born of these “hallucinations” was his pursuit of direct access to the Red Sea coast, a delusion driven by Ethiopia’s status as the world’s most populous landlocked nation and its heavy economic reliance on neighboring ports.
Ethiopia now faces the major danger of sliding back into a full-scale civil war as the 2022 Pretoria peace agreement collapses and renewed fighting erupts in the northern regions. Large-scale fighting broke out in late September 2026 between federal forces and the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF), with clashes spreading across Tigray, Amhara, and Afar.
The TPLF joined a new coalition of opposition groups aimed at overthrowing Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s government. News papers and reliable local sources indicate that opposition forces are mobing towards Addis Ababa, facing a lot of less resistance from the federal army forces.
Tigrayan forces seized regional airports including Mekelle, Axum, and Shire, severely disrupting civilian flights and humanitarian logistics.
Deteriorating relations with neighboring Eritrea and rising fears of a broader regional spillover threaten to draw outside states into the conflict.
Expanding drone strikes, blocked roads, and renewed violence are worsening food security and putting millions of civilians at risk once again.
This current arned conflict might to the collapse of Ethiopia, leading to an exodus of refugees to neighboring countries.
Wether or not Ethiopia can survive from civil war only time will tell.
Jama Ismail (Jama Falaag)
jamafalaag@gmail.com
